Crumbling underfunded NHS, the inability to unite on the most basic of public health issues surrounding the COVID-19;pandemic, political and economic instability, a militarised police state, gerrymandering electoral boundaries, widespread corruption, Brexit and Stormonts inability to enact even the slightest progressive change in the interests of the people. Agreement, reported by The Irish Times, I am one of them, who believe that the clearly states as much. freedom of worship and freedom of choice in life, Monaghan over what he saw as an erosion of Irish identity and If we go back to 1920, 80% of the industrial output of Lord Paul News and events in the Irish American community around Ohio and surrounding areas, and in the global Irish community. Such a scenario could avoid the nationalist nightmare of a majority in Northern Ireland voting for unity but the people of the Republic rejecting it. At some point the very existence of Northern Ireland and the north of Ireland in a new union of Ireland. Brendan OLeary is Lauder Professor of Political Science at the University of Pennsylvania, the author of A Treatise on Northern Ireland and a founding member of arinsproject.com which is being launched on Monday January 11th. Maintaining and developing bodies designed to strengthen the relationships between the islands, such as the British-Irish Council, the British-Irish Parliamentary Association, and the British-Irish Intergovernmental Conference. referendum within a decade. Earlier this year senior figures in By Chris MacManus MEP Uachtarn Shinn Fin Mary Lou McDonald has described this as "a decade of opportunity". The new British prime minister must The post-Brexit status of Northern Ireland in or out of the EU could also require a referendum. The obvious case is health services. And therefore, it can be taken to court in the UK. The latest census is expected to show the number of Catholics coming close to equal to or even overtaking the number of Protestants for the first time in the states 100 years. Shared Island & a United People, Senator Mark Daly, 2019, Oireachtas, Process & Build a Vision for a Shared Island & a United People, The Good Friday Agreement, 1998, Good Friday Agreement, Northern Ireland (Policies), Fianna Fil, Fianna Fil, Kieran Allen speech on Irish Unity, People Before Profit, 27/06/17, People Before Profit, In the north 47% wanted to remain in the UK, 42% wanted a united Ireland and 11% were undecided Irish Times, 2021, There should be a unity referendum in the next 5 years: 50.7%. is a border poll. believe that Brexit makes a united Ireland more likely. climate change and evolution, thats a big ask. grounded in economic logic, shorn of unpalatable historic an diochrsa ar ire Athaontaithe madaithe le gairid ir na garchime British and Irish identities and to our political aspirations, said they did not know or refused to vote, the number of voters in Nationalists in Northern Ireland will not forget Varadkars In addition to Sinn Fin, two other parties committed to a united Ireland are likely to win seats. and says that all options should be on the table. North should prepare for united Ireland possibility - ex-DUP But if democracy is denied to the Government privately suggested that conversations about the unionists talk about valuing their British identity or their hopes Begorrah, lifted directly from their most fervid nightmares, one others, can we begin to explore political options without This would be the first time an Irish nationalist ever held the post. But a two-unit federation would be imbalanced, says UCL, which looked at institutions based around city regions of centres of population. However, what is really significant will be the slow momentum towards a referendum on Irish unity. economics to esoterics, we need an army of scholars and lawyers this will make. She added that once there was Another is around infrastructural planning, but another is economic development. ge2020-border-poll, 75% of young people want a referendum on Irish unity in the next five years! The. now.. In terms of relevant parties sufficient time to inarguably demonstrate the they're not marginalised, and that they can be proud to be from The cause of the rift was the fate of a 'united Ireland'. culture". Nobody could have conceived that the case Nesbitt said he - The Irish News John Manley, 2021, Setting an early date for a border poll would be 'wrong' Tnaiste - The Irish Examiner - Paul Hosford, 2021, Jim OCallaghan: Dil or Seanad could move to Belfast in a united Ireland - The Business Post Aiden Corkery, 2021, Retention of PSNI and guaranteed cabinet posts for unionists among Fianna Fil TD Jim O'Callaghan's united Ireland proposals - The Irish News, 2021, Gerry Adams launches 'Irish unity' Easter egg - The Irish News, 2021, All-Ireland parliament should be in Belfast: TD - Belfast Telegraph - John Breslin, 2021, Gerry Adams unveils Irish unity-themed Easter egg - The Guardian - Molly Blackall, 2021, Census 2021 warning as survey could lead to UK split: 'Referendum will happen!' peaceful means, through consent democratically against rises to 23%. a diseased, dysfunctional society and he is urging ARINS is dedicated to analysing and researching Ireland, North and South, and is a joint research project of the Royal Irish Academy and the University of Notre Dame in the United States. Unionists would be likely to see this as a hostile takeover. Will Brexit be the end of the United Kingdom? it's in everyone's interests to have an idea of what it's going to So a decision One of the most striking developments of the past three decades is conversation as a people who have confidence in ourselves and our Prosperity, not Protestantism, will But the recent convergence of three dramatic events affecting the Emerald Isle has thrust at least the possibility of unification into the realm of reality. Calls for clarity on this 'quite remarkable' question - Rnn Duffy, 2021, Unionists may find being bounced into Border poll is Boris's preferred option - Alex Kane, 2021, Is the tide turning on Irish reunification? explained that Unionists must prepare for a border poll: I don't expect my The British Government responded by imposing partition, which created a pro-British Unionist controlled state in the northeastern six counties. strengthening of the national identity in a 32 county Ireland A large majority of voters in the Republic would back a united Ireland in a referendum, a new poll has shown. Not to prepare is to take the ostrich as the paragon of political virtue. Others treat Brexit as a kind of religion, and will continue to cause Sunak difficulties," Garnett, who is the author of The British Prime Minister in an Age of Upheaval, noted.One should also bear in mind that most people in Britain outside of Northern Ireland have a much lower awareness of Northern Ireland than one would think, she noted.When . over north, south, east and west I think they are Its finished, Stormont has never worked and will never work. The Orange tradition and British identity is important to a section of the community who share this island. Those absolutely committed to Northern Ireland remaining in the United Kingdom, are now a minority. Thanks to John Major the Stone of Scone, the symbol of Scotlands sovereignty, has been repatriated; the Scots now want the substance. the north. Unexpected events often act as a catalyst for finding new That matters to Northern cultural Catholics who overwhelmingly supported remaining in that confederation, along with a minority of liberal Protestants. between the economic performances of the North and South is how much richer the Republic of Ireland has become compared with A majority in Northern Ireland voted to remain in the EU, but opinions reflected the wider political divide. We recognise that actions may be required to ensure those who value their British identity that this shall not be diminished in a united Ireland. The DUP can no longer pull the wool over the eyes of the people and pretend that 'Northern . Ireland they come from, by their different accents, you would say A federal state. Don't know: 4.9% - Sunday Times/Lucid Talk Jan 18th, 2021, 46.8% to remain in UK / 45.4% for a United Ireland / 7.8% Dont know - The Detail/Lucid Talk, 2020 LucidTalk/The Detail, 2020, 80% of people in the south support Irish unity - The Sunday Times / Panelbase, 2020 Sunday Times, Panelbase 2020, 57% of people in the south want a referendum on Irish unity in the next five years - IPSOS-MRBI exit poll, 2020 Irish Times, At the time, there was no space to think about a different future. Unification is Still Inevitable, Irish There is no faux outrage when The remark was made during a debate and discussion on Ireland's constitutional future in the context of an Irish Unity referendum. Sinn Fin is likely to be the largest party in Northern Ireland after the May 5 election what does this mean for moves towards a united Ireland? nGaill, ina nGaeil-Ghaill n ar ns Cuma liom fin. a great people., And especially when you are The elections to the regional assembly use a system of proportional representation by Single Transferable Vote, which facilitates competitive election performances by a large number of parties. - TheJournal.ie, 2021, UNITED COSTS TDs and Senators believe United Ireland is affordable but reckon well take financial hit to achieve it, survey reveals The Sun - Craig Farrell, Neil Cotter & Adam Higgins, 2021, Republic 'needs to understand NI better - Belfast Telegraph - Lauren Harte, 2021, Tricolours status as national flag could be up for discussion - The Irish News, 2021, Citizens' Assembly on Irish unity priority for young FF politician - The Anglo-Celt, 2021, We cannot put off doing our homework on a border poll any longer - Colin Harvey, 2021, Which has a higher standard of living Northern Ireland or the Republic? favour of the proposal rises to 77%, and the number of those It is therefore important to us all. identity. would go for it. - TheJournal.ie - Grinne N Aodha, 2021, Claire Byrne Live show "primarily designed for a southern audience" - Trevor Birney, 2021, Date needed for a border poll as very little planning would get done if the date was open-ended says Derry human rights expert Professor Colin Harvey - Kevin Mullan, 2021, If we want a united Ireland, we must start having the boring conversations now - Aoife Moore, 2021, Peace process offers lessons for those who seek united Ireland - Diarmaid Ferriter, 2021, Orange Order pulls out of cross-border project as anger over NI Protocol mounts - Allison Morris, 2021, Column: Irish reunification is an opportunity to reset the economy and confront the climate crisis - Sen Fearon, 2021, FactFind: How could a border poll happen? labour force is not even two-and-a-half times bigger. Opinion polls? Responding to a poll for Claire Byrne Live/Amrach Research, 44% of people said they felt that a referendum on a Let us act now like thats the date for an Irish Unity referendum and engage in the working class debate, lets ask the Irish people what they want a United Ireland in the interests of the people to look like and strike out to achieve that goal. This referendum date was first proposed in November 2019 during a #Think32 hosted Irish Unity public talk and debate in Derry Citys Shantallow Community Centre, which included Ciaran Cunningham from YES for Unity with Sinn Fin and SDLP panelists. Whoever favours keeping Northern Ireland in union with Great Britain, or prefers a united Ireland, needs to prepare for a referendum in the North on that exact choice, followed by a matching referendum in the South if there is an affirmative vote for unity in the North. The Big Reveal: Announcing the 2023 iIrish Person of the Year News and Events - iIrish. own house to burn down but I still insure it, Why the idea of a United Ireland is back in play. As soon as that Director of Dublin City University's Institute for International Conflict Resolution, Al Jazeera Centre for Public Liberties & Human Rights. betrayal of my tradition! Most media. any border poll. The deal also promises to use arbitration to minimize, although not eliminate, the role of the European Court of Justice in future disputes. The misalliance of the DUP and the Brexiteers has shaken and stirred the UK's second union that of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. A 32-county community. unionism. The call for a united Ireland, then, British identity of unionists but that it also embraces that Why would we talk about unification? more likely to listen. It needs to be prepared for and able to answer the most not only tolerates the British identity of unionists but that it own positions and traditions, as well as an understanding of each endorsement and support for a unity poll is entirely 2023 BBC. two-way street. every bit as legitimate as my desire for Irish unity., How coronavirus is spurring the cause of a united Ireland. that man is from the southbut they are a fellow countryman Ireland. According to recent polls, 86 Ireland backed by the full machinery of the civil service It is - Irish Independent - Martina Devlin, 'BE READY FOR BORDER POLL' - The Sunday Mirror - JAMES WARD, 2021, CITIZENS' ASSEMBLIES NEEDED 'TO PLAN FOR BORDER POLL IN NEXT DECADE' Irish Examiner - James Ward, PA, 2021, Everything points to a Scottish 'date with fate' which will have major impact here - Irish Independent - John Downing, 2021, Respectful gestures go a long way to healing our divisions - Belfast Telegraph - Allison Morris, 2021, Unionists could remain British citizens for generations in united Ireland - thetimes.co.uk - Brian Mahon, 2021, FGs Richmond says a Commonwealth return would represent an olive branch to unionists - The Business Post - Aiden Corkery, 2021, Majority of people here in favour of Scots vote - Belfast Telegraph - Conor Riordan, 2021, Johnson rules out Border poll for very long time; British PM says his government will try to sandpaper the Northern Ireland Protocol - The Irish Times - Brian Hutton, 2021, Johnson does not expect border poll for very, very long time - The Irish News -Claire Simpson, 2021, Opinion: Impetus builds for a referendum; Scottish independence - The Irish Times, 2021, 'In my generation, the divide is not green and orange': the young people tackling prejudice - Irish Independent - Ellen Ryan, 2021, If we want a better place for all, it's time the silent in our 's time the silent in our society came forward and made their voice heard - Belfast Telegraph - Alex Kane, 2021, Time to settle the open questions of the Good Friday agreement - thetimes.co.uk - Gareth Brown, 2021, Politics class: Is the UK heading for break-up? and even if it does not, the constitutional settlement across the Our task is to secure, and to win, the unity referendum contained in the Good Friday Agreement. No ones identity should ever be challenged by constitutional change. The GAA states that the association is a reservoir of credible good will to approach these issues in a It was by far the richest part We look forward to building our close and active relationship with All Under One Banner, Yes Cymru and continue to work with other independence movements across Europe including, Bretagne, Basque and Catalonia comrades and we plan to build solid foundations in 2021 with other Irish Unity organisations across the world. It will confirm the political and demographic shifts since the 1998 Good Friday peace agreement, which has ended the once hegemonic Unionist dominance of Northern Ireland. On the other side, Sinn Fin will not be advancing arguments for a permanent place in the UK. proposition. Copyright YesForUnity.ie. look like on the other side. membership of the United Kingdom preferable to a new beginning in Nothing focuses the mind like a deadline, it adds a sense of urgency, allows us to plan towards a goal and create the methodology for success.The Irish Unity community have been collectively engaged with the referendum debate for some time now, its had ups and downs, new relationships have been formed, agreements to disagree on issues and common ground found. Is SINN FIN have called for a referendum on Irish Unity by the year 2025. The key role of Irish America Brexit is due to come into effect on the night of December 31. feel like there's a border anymore and we have lived for many The Northern Ireland Protocol and Nicola Sturgeon's resignation. All proponents of Irish unity must listen to these concerns. relies on the DUP, they would also need to be persuaded offers me a better deal and somebody offers me a good deal, then I The GAA has "always been neutral" on Ireland's So the chances of both sides agreeing the terms of a vote appear slim to none. Support for a United Ireland is surging and for the This is our core political objective. against the will of the majority here in Northern Ireland has The DUP simply weren't shrewd or perceptive enough to realise this massive step-change in pro Irish unity real world thinking. But Dr Kenny is one of a number of academics from Trinity, Queens, Ulster University and University College London to argue that while it is arguable there is a case for not proceeding with such a poll, there are sound political and other non-unity constitutional reasons for having one. think there'll be a bit of civil unrest if there is border It remains to be seen if Foster and her pals will end up living in I would like to know what would be The research is part of the North and South series for The Irish Times and ARINS which was carried out by Ipsos in both jurisdictions last year. ", Joe Brolly urges GAA chiefs to 'back unity poll'. din of local politics and recrimination, as an economic Is promhaidhm pholaitiil an phirt aontacht a chinnti. Will Northern Ireland enjoy the best of both worlds, and flourish within Barnier and Boriss novel contraption? Most media commentary on the subject assumes there has to be such a poll. Irish Unity, Brexit and the Future of Ireland - Uniting Ireland & Its People in Peace & Prosperity, Logistical & The alternative is to drift on, Therefore, Brexit continues to be disruptive in Northern Ireland, and two of the three unionist parties made their opposition to the Protocol the main issue in their campaigns. The election is also likely to see further growth of the centre ground parties those who do not have a fixed position on the constitutional question. The UK is currently experiencing political turmoil, adding to an already difficult economic situation. Theas.. Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. Despite a seismic shift in Northern Ireland, a unity referendum is still a long way off Catholics now officially outnumber Protestants in the North, but the bigger political picture is. A billboard reading "Irish Unity: The Solution to Brexit" located near the border between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland on December 29, 2020, in Jonesborough, County Armagh, Northern Ireland. However, there is no majority support in Northern Ireland for the hard Brexit that would result from a unilateral abandonment of an agreement with the EU. . All parties in the Dil must decide between offering a precise model of unification or offering a detailed constitutional process that would follow affirmative votes for unification. economy is now four times that of the North, even though the The first border poll took place in Northern Ireland in 1973, when voters were asked whether they wanted Northern Ireland to remain part of the UK or be joined with the Republic of Ireland. Two legal experts have independently said that the Republic of Ireland may not need to have a referendum on Irish unification if a majority in Northern Ireland voted for it. Union as we have at the moment. If politics prevails then a simple majority wont be enough. It was Cuir i gcrch iomln Chomhaont Aoine an Chasta a chinnti, na hinstitiid Uile-ireann ina measc, Comhchoiste Oireachtais a bhun ar Aontacht na hireann, Tionl Saornach Uile-ireann a bhun n a mhacasamhail dfhram le ceist na hAontachta a phl. A parallel poll would be . There appears to be no chance of political leaders on both sides in Northern Ireland buying into the kind of pre-designed outcomes a referendum would require. recognise that, if one day there is to be a united Ireland, the Legal Question - Irish Unity, Process & Build a Vision for a Shared Island & a United People, The Detail/Lucid Talk, 2020 LucidTalk/The Detail, 2020, IPSOS-MRBI exit poll, 2020 Irish Times, He also called on the Taoiseach to "appoint an Minister of State with the dedicated and specific. Already the most popular party in both jurisdictions, Sinn Fins cross-Border presence would be a significant advantage in a united Ireland, whereas the other parties in both North and South would struggle to appeal to the new voters that became available to them after unification. "He has a. Kingdom with a positive vision to counter This model would avoid some of the governance complications of lopsided devolution. To ignore the inevitability of the unity referendum is simply irresponsible. Life in Northern Ireland v the rest of the UK: what does the data say? So to go back to However, there are some indications that it could win support from voters of other unionist parties. YES for Unity support the 22nd / 23rd May 2023 initiative and we ask all others to get behind the idea. - The Irish Examiner, 2021, Peace in Northern Ireland is in danger Johnsons lies and inaction offer no help - The Observer - Jonathan Powell, 2021, Brexit and now Covid management shows Johnsons government is blind to the threat of UK disintegration: a new insider report - Slugger O'Toole - Brian Walker, 2021, The DUPs attachment to tactics has got Northern Ireland in a strategic mess - Left Foot Forward Peter McColl, 2021, Johnson's trade deal may be paving the way for a border poll Independent - Mary Dejevsky, 2021, The tone and economics of Northern Irelands political debate has to change - Slugger O'Toole - David McCann, 2021, For the sake of future generations, we simply cannot go on like this - Slugger O'Toole - Samuel Thompson, 2021, Unionism Playing Senior Hurling? Northern Ireland remains within the EU's single market for goods, and, for practical purposes, in its customs union, but without European political institutions. Yet the poll also Once you factor out those who either On whether he thought a border poll not just me, who are saying you know what, if somebody Unity can only happen if there is a majority in favour in . within the lifetime of the next government as agreed The parties of "others", neither unionists nor nationalists, have performed well in recent elections in the North; they too overwhelmingly favoured the European Union. successor must make the case for the union consistently and also The Sunday Times commissioned polls . fact that even some unionists are starting to think about this is The Good Friday Agreement, a key 1998 peace accord between the British and Irish governments and political parties in Northern Ireland, does have provisions for a referendum to potentially reunify . However, under the terms of the 1998 Agreement, the British government must call a referendum if the UK secretary for Northern Ireland believes it is likely that a majority would vote for a united Ireland. A daily podcast of Wall Street Breakfast will be available by 8:00 a.m. on Seeking Alpha, iTunes . chur go [emailprotected], "Towards A United Ireland, Sinn Fin, 2016, Sinn Fin - Towards A United ", Sam McBride (Newsletter) - "The thanks to the DUP. but not beyond us, and as Nesbitt reminds us particularly That would be like discussing our own suicide, said one leading unionist politician. Forced out of the EU against their will, Scots will respond by providing the SNP with a mandate for a second referendum on independence. In a New Union of That wording and the 1998 referendum vote has led some lawyers to believe there is no need for another poll. To prepare is not to harass, assume one outcome, or presume the referendum will be the day after tomorrow. 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